WEEKLY_CONTENT // EPA_ANALYSIS // 2025_SEASON
2025 NFL OFFENSIVE EPA TIER RANKINGS
Yards per game tells you how busy an offense was. EPA/play tells you whether the work mattered.
These rankings cover the full 2025 regular season — 32 teams, all drives, no cherry-picking.
Teams are sorted by offensive EPA per play (total EPA divided by total plays, regular-season only).
Click any team to see their full drive data.
TIER_1 — ELITE OFFENSES
These drives are genuinely difficult to stop. EPA/play above +0.08.
TIER_2 — ABOVE AVERAGE
Consistently positive expected value. Real weapons. EPA/play +0.02 to +0.08.
#6
IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC/South
+0.074
31.0%_TD
34.3_YD/DR
#7
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC/West
+0.068
28.5%_TD
34.5_YD/DR
#8
DET
Detroit Lions
NFC/North
+0.052
30.3%_TD
33.4_YD/DR
#9
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC/South
+0.045
28.5%_TD
29.7_YD/DR
#10
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC/North
+0.045
26.2%_TD
32.4_YD/DR
#11
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
NFC/West
+0.034
26.6%_TD
31.6_YD/DR
#12
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC/West
+0.031
22.4%_TD
32.2_YD/DR
#13
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC/North
+0.031
26.7%_TD
31.2_YD/DR
#14
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC/North
+0.024
24.9%_TD
29.1_YD/DR
#15
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC/West
+0.021
23.4%_TD
29.9_YD/DR
TIER_3 — LEAGUE AVERAGE
The wide middle of the league. EPA/play -0.02 to +0.02.
#16
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC/North
+0.019
27.1%_TD
31.6_YD/DR
#17
NYG
New York Giants
NFC/East
+0.006
26.0%_TD
33.3_YD/DR
#18
WAS
Washington Commanders
NFC/East
+0.005
24.9%_TD
32.8_YD/DR
#19
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC/East
+0.000
24.9%_TD
28.6_YD/DR
#20
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC/South
-0.015
22.2%_TD
30.2_YD/DR
#21
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC/South
-0.019
19.0%_TD
28.3_YD/DR
TIER_4 — BELOW AVERAGE
Generating negative expected value on a per-play basis. EPA/play -0.07 to -0.02.
#22
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC/East
-0.021
22.0%_TD
28.7_YD/DR
#23
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC/West
-0.028
20.5%_TD
32.2_YD/DR
#24
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC/South
-0.037
20.0%_TD
30.5_YD/DR
#25
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC/West
-0.037
23.0%_TD
31.4_YD/DR
#26
CAR
Carolina Panthers
NFC/South
-0.043
20.8%_TD
29.5_YD/DR
TIER_5 — BOTTOM TIER
Getting outscored by the scoreboard's idea of a bad drive, on average. EPA/play below -0.07.
#27
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC/North
-0.098
19.4%_TD
25.3_YD/DR
#28
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC/East
-0.110
17.1%_TD
23.7_YD/DR
#29
NO
New Orleans Saints
NFC/South
-0.131
17.3%_TD
29.7_YD/DR
#30
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC/South
-0.152
15.6%_TD
23.0_YD/DR
#31
CLE
Cleveland Browns
AFC/North
-0.202
15.1%_TD
21.9_YD/DR
#32
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
AFC/West
-0.213
13.7%_TD
23.1_YD/DR
DATA NOTE: EPA = Expected Points Added per play. Positive means the offense
generated more expected scoring than league average on a per-play basis. Source: nflverse
play-by-play, 2025 regular season. TD% = percentage of drives ending in touchdown.
YD/DR = average yards per drive. All 32 teams included — no minimum drive count applied.