WEEKLY_CONTENT // EPA_ANALYSIS // 2024_SEASON
2024 NFL OFFENSIVE EPA TIER RANKINGS
Yards per game tells you how busy an offense was. EPA/play tells you whether the work mattered.
These rankings cover the full 2024 regular season — 32 teams, all drives, no cherry-picking.
Teams are sorted by offensive EPA per play (total EPA divided by total plays, regular-season only).
Click any team to see their full drive data.
TIER_1 — ELITE OFFENSES
These drives are genuinely difficult to stop. EPA/play above +0.08.
#1
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC/North
+0.154
35.8%_TD
41.0_YD/DR
#2
DET
Detroit Lions
NFC/North
+0.152
38.2%_TD
39.2_YD/DR
#3
BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC/East
+0.141
37.1%_TD
36.7_YD/DR
#4
WAS
Washington Commanders
NFC/East
+0.117
31.8%_TD
37.1_YD/DR
#5
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC/South
+0.112
32.6%_TD
38.9_YD/DR
#6
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC/East
+0.086
31.4%_TD
37.1_YD/DR
#7
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC/North
+0.083
31.4%_TD
36.2_YD/DR
TIER_2 — ABOVE AVERAGE
Consistently positive expected value. Real weapons. EPA/play +0.02 to +0.08.
#8
GB
Green Bay Packers
NFC/North
+0.068
29.0%_TD
35.9_YD/DR
#9
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC/West
+0.055
25.3%_TD
34.6_YD/DR
#10
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC/West
+0.048
25.3%_TD
36.8_YD/DR
#11
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC/West
+0.036
23.0%_TD
31.9_YD/DR
#12
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC/West
+0.021
23.5%_TD
37.7_YD/DR
TIER_3 — LEAGUE AVERAGE
The wide middle of the league. EPA/play -0.02 to +0.02.
#13
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC/North
+0.017
24.9%_TD
33.5_YD/DR
#14
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC/West
+0.016
23.1%_TD
30.4_YD/DR
#15
LA
Los Angeles Rams
NFC/West
+0.009
22.6%_TD
34.5_YD/DR
#16
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC/South
+0.005
24.4%_TD
38.5_YD/DR
#17
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC/North
+0.003
18.6%_TD
29.0_YD/DR
#18
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC/South
-0.012
18.8%_TD
30.7_YD/DR
#19
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
NFC/West
-0.015
21.3%_TD
31.8_YD/DR
TIER_4 — BELOW AVERAGE
Generating negative expected value on a per-play basis. EPA/play -0.07 to -0.02.
#20
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC/East
-0.025
23.1%_TD
31.3_YD/DR
#21
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC/South
-0.028
18.7%_TD
29.1_YD/DR
#22
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC/East
-0.034
19.2%_TD
31.3_YD/DR
#23
IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC/South
-0.061
21.4%_TD
30.5_YD/DR
#24
CAR
Carolina Panthers
NFC/South
-0.061
22.3%_TD
28.4_YD/DR
TIER_5 — BOTTOM TIER
Getting outscored by the scoreboard's idea of a bad drive, on average. EPA/play below -0.07.
#25
NO
New Orleans Saints
NFC/South
-0.072
20.3%_TD
30.8_YD/DR
#26
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC/North
-0.072
18.9%_TD
27.6_YD/DR
#27
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
NFC/East
-0.080
15.7%_TD
30.2_YD/DR
#28
NE
New England Patriots
AFC/East
-0.087
16.6%_TD
28.4_YD/DR
#29
NYG
New York Giants
NFC/East
-0.101
16.1%_TD
28.9_YD/DR
#30
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC/South
-0.117
17.5%_TD
27.4_YD/DR
#31
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
AFC/West
-0.138
15.8%_TD
28.1_YD/DR
#32
CLE
Cleveland Browns
AFC/North
-0.182
13.7%_TD
26.0_YD/DR
DATA NOTE: EPA = Expected Points Added per play. Positive means the offense
generated more expected scoring than league average on a per-play basis. Source: nflverse
play-by-play, 2024 regular season. TD% = percentage of drives ending in touchdown.
YD/DR = average yards per drive. Minimum: 100 regular-season drives.