WEEKLY_CONTENT // EPA_ANALYSIS // 2026_SEASON
2026 NFL OFFENSIVE EPA TIER RANKINGS
Yards per game tells you how busy an offense was. EPA/play tells you whether the work mattered.
These rankings cover the 2026 regular season through Week 4 — 32 teams, all drives, no cherry-picking.
Teams are sorted by offensive EPA per play (total EPA divided by total plays, regular-season only).
Click any team to see their full drive data.
TIER_1 — ELITE OFFENSES
These drives are genuinely difficult to stop. EPA/play above +0.08.
#1
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC/West
+0.259
42.1%_TD
40.1_YD/DR
#2
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
NFC/East
+0.184
38.9%_TD
40.9_YD/DR
#3
BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC/East
+0.169
37.2%_TD
36.0_YD/DR
#4
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC/South
+0.153
32.4%_TD
33.9_YD/DR
#5
DET
Detroit Lions
NFC/North
+0.125
33.3%_TD
36.2_YD/DR
#6
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC/West
+0.123
31.8%_TD
36.2_YD/DR
#7
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC/North
+0.121
31.0%_TD
40.7_YD/DR
#8
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC/North
+0.109
31.1%_TD
33.5_YD/DR
TIER_2 — ABOVE AVERAGE
Consistently positive expected value. Real weapons. EPA/play +0.02 to +0.08.
TIER_3 — LEAGUE AVERAGE
The wide middle of the league. EPA/play -0.02 to +0.02.
TIER_4 — BELOW AVERAGE
Generating negative expected value on a per-play basis. EPA/play -0.07 to -0.02.
#14
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC/East
-0.021
20.0%_TD
28.3_YD/DR
#15
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
AFC/West
-0.021
29.2%_TD
28.9_YD/DR
#16
NO
New Orleans Saints
NFC/South
-0.023
29.5%_TD
33.1_YD/DR
#17
NYG
New York Giants
NFC/East
-0.028
17.5%_TD
28.3_YD/DR
#18
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC/South
-0.037
20.0%_TD
30.1_YD/DR
#19
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC/West
-0.042
20.5%_TD
26.5_YD/DR
#20
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC/West
-0.046
19.5%_TD
26.2_YD/DR
#21
NE
New England Patriots
AFC/East
-0.051
16.3%_TD
31.8_YD/DR
#22
LA
Los Angeles Rams
NFC/West
-0.052
21.3%_TD
33.4_YD/DR
#23
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC/South
-0.058
23.4%_TD
30.0_YD/DR
#24
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC/North
-0.069
16.7%_TD
27.5_YD/DR
TIER_5 — BOTTOM TIER
Getting outscored by the scoreboard's idea of a bad drive, on average. EPA/play below -0.07.
#25
GB
Green Bay Packers
NFC/North
-0.075
18.2%_TD
28.1_YD/DR
#26
WAS
Washington Commanders
NFC/East
-0.079
21.3%_TD
25.1_YD/DR
#27
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC/North
-0.085
15.2%_TD
22.5_YD/DR
#28
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC/East
-0.087
21.4%_TD
24.5_YD/DR
#29
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC/South
-0.100
15.0%_TD
27.3_YD/DR
#30
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC/South
-0.153
15.6%_TD
24.2_YD/DR
#31
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC/West
-0.199
14.9%_TD
27.2_YD/DR
#32
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC/East
-0.200
10.8%_TD
27.9_YD/DR
DATA NOTE: EPA = Expected Points Added per play. Positive means the offense
generated more expected scoring than league average on a per-play basis. Source: nflverse
play-by-play, 2026 regular season. TD% = percentage of drives ending in touchdown.
YD/DR = average yards per drive. All 32 teams included — no minimum drive count applied.