WEEKLY_CONTENT // EPA_ANALYSIS // 2026_SEASON
2026 NFL OFFENSIVE EPA TIER RANKINGS
Yards per game tells you how busy an offense was. EPA/play tells you whether the work mattered.
These rankings cover the 2026 regular season through Week 1 — 32 teams, all drives, no cherry-picking.
Teams are sorted by offensive EPA per play (total EPA divided by total plays, regular-season only).
Click any team to see their full drive data.
TIER_1 — ELITE OFFENSES
These drives are genuinely difficult to stop. EPA/play above +0.08.
#1
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC/North
+0.456
57.1%_TD
37.7_YD/DR
#2
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC/South
+0.323
44.4%_TD
38.9_YD/DR
#3
BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC/East
+0.299
33.3%_TD
37.5_YD/DR
#4
NYG
New York Giants
NFC/East
+0.298
57.1%_TD
59.1_YD/DR
#5
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
NFC/East
+0.275
42.9%_TD
41.3_YD/DR
#6
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC/North
+0.167
38.5%_TD
34.2_YD/DR
#7
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC/West
+0.143
33.3%_TD
43.8_YD/DR
#8
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC/South
+0.111
36.4%_TD
36.5_YD/DR
#9
CAR
Carolina Panthers
NFC/South
+0.083
38.5%_TD
32.8_YD/DR
TIER_2 — ABOVE AVERAGE
Consistently positive expected value. Real weapons. EPA/play +0.02 to +0.08.
#10
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC/West
+0.062
33.3%_TD
30.8_YD/DR
#11
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC/East
+0.046
18.2%_TD
30.4_YD/DR
#12
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC/North
+0.045
30.0%_TD
36.0_YD/DR
#13
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC/North
+0.042
38.5%_TD
22.6_YD/DR
#14
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC/East
+0.032
25.0%_TD
23.6_YD/DR
#15
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC/West
+0.028
18.2%_TD
34.4_YD/DR
TIER_3 — LEAGUE AVERAGE
The wide middle of the league. EPA/play -0.02 to +0.02.
TIER_4 — BELOW AVERAGE
Generating negative expected value on a per-play basis. EPA/play -0.07 to -0.02.
TIER_5 — BOTTOM TIER
Getting outscored by the scoreboard's idea of a bad drive, on average. EPA/play below -0.07.
#22
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC/South
-0.082
30.0%_TD
28.9_YD/DR
#23
GB
Green Bay Packers
NFC/North
-0.170
16.7%_TD
33.2_YD/DR
#24
IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC/South
-0.196
25.0%_TD
21.4_YD/DR
#25
CLE
Cleveland Browns
AFC/North
-0.229
11.1%_TD
25.8_YD/DR
#26
LA
Los Angeles Rams
NFC/West
-0.238
10.0%_TD
28.3_YD/DR
#27
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC/South
-0.245
10.0%_TD
18.5_YD/DR
#28
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC/North
-0.285
14.3%_TD
20.6_YD/DR
#29
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC/West
-0.291
20.0%_TD
30.0_YD/DR
#30
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC/East
-0.345
9.1%_TD
21.1_YD/DR
#31
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC/West
-0.348
8.3%_TD
13.4_YD/DR
#32
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC/South
-0.382
7.7%_TD
17.5_YD/DR
DATA NOTE: EPA = Expected Points Added per play. Positive means the offense
generated more expected scoring than league average on a per-play basis. Source: nflverse
play-by-play, 2026 regular season. TD% = percentage of drives ending in touchdown.
YD/DR = average yards per drive. All 32 teams included — no minimum drive count applied.