WEEKLY_CONTENT // EPA_ANALYSIS // 2026_SEASON
2026 NFL OFFENSIVE EPA TIER RANKINGS
Yards per game tells you how busy an offense was. EPA/play tells you whether the work mattered.
These rankings cover the 2026 regular season through Week 7 — 32 teams, all drives, no cherry-picking.
Teams are sorted by offensive EPA per play (total EPA divided by total plays, regular-season only).
Click any team to see their full drive data.
TIER_1 — ELITE OFFENSES
These drives are genuinely difficult to stop. EPA/play above +0.08.
#1
BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC/East
+0.190
35.9%_TD
36.2_YD/DR
#2
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC/South
+0.133
30.5%_TD
34.0_YD/DR
#3
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC/West
+0.132
37.1%_TD
35.4_YD/DR
#4
DET
Detroit Lions
NFC/North
+0.129
34.9%_TD
38.3_YD/DR
#5
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
NFC/East
+0.125
33.8%_TD
40.0_YD/DR
#6
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC/North
+0.106
31.7%_TD
34.5_YD/DR
TIER_2 — ABOVE AVERAGE
Consistently positive expected value. Real weapons. EPA/play +0.02 to +0.08.
#7
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC/West
+0.058
25.4%_TD
35.0_YD/DR
#8
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC/South
+0.041
22.7%_TD
31.1_YD/DR
#9
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC/North
+0.040
26.9%_TD
34.2_YD/DR
#10
NE
New England Patriots
AFC/East
+0.039
25.3%_TD
35.7_YD/DR
#11
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC/North
+0.031
24.7%_TD
32.4_YD/DR
TIER_3 — LEAGUE AVERAGE
The wide middle of the league. EPA/play -0.02 to +0.02.
TIER_4 — BELOW AVERAGE
Generating negative expected value on a per-play basis. EPA/play -0.07 to -0.02.
#16
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC/North
-0.021
18.8%_TD
28.6_YD/DR
#17
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC/East
-0.027
19.2%_TD
28.4_YD/DR
#18
GB
Green Bay Packers
NFC/North
-0.034
20.8%_TD
29.9_YD/DR
#19
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
AFC/West
-0.035
26.2%_TD
31.1_YD/DR
#20
WAS
Washington Commanders
NFC/East
-0.037
21.4%_TD
26.0_YD/DR
#21
IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC/South
-0.048
18.7%_TD
28.1_YD/DR
#22
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC/South
-0.050
23.8%_TD
29.9_YD/DR
#23
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC/West
-0.050
19.0%_TD
24.1_YD/DR
#24
CLE
Cleveland Browns
AFC/North
-0.056
15.7%_TD
24.7_YD/DR
#25
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC/West
-0.059
16.9%_TD
29.0_YD/DR
#26
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC/East
-0.069
21.9%_TD
25.8_YD/DR
TIER_5 — BOTTOM TIER
Getting outscored by the scoreboard's idea of a bad drive, on average. EPA/play below -0.07.
#27
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC/South
-0.074
19.8%_TD
25.3_YD/DR
#28
NO
New Orleans Saints
NFC/South
-0.076
27.6%_TD
28.4_YD/DR
#29
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC/East
-0.081
19.6%_TD
31.4_YD/DR
#30
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC/North
-0.103
15.2%_TD
25.0_YD/DR
#31
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC/South
-0.109
15.7%_TD
25.9_YD/DR
#32
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC/West
-0.236
12.5%_TD
24.8_YD/DR
DATA NOTE: EPA = Expected Points Added per play. Positive means the offense
generated more expected scoring than league average on a per-play basis. Source: nflverse
play-by-play, 2026 regular season. TD% = percentage of drives ending in touchdown.
YD/DR = average yards per drive. All 32 teams included — no minimum drive count applied.