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NFL_ANALYTICS_EXPLAINED

The stats used on this site, explained without the jargon tax. EPA, Win Probability, CPOE — if you've seen these numbers in the tools and wondered what they actually measure, start here.

WHAT_IS_EPA?

Expected Points Added measures how much a play moved the needle — not in yards, but in points. Why a 5-yard gain on 3rd-and-4 is worth more than 10 yards on 1st-and-10.

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WIN_PROBABILITY_EXPLAINED

The number that says "your team has a 73% chance to win right now" and where it comes from. How score, time, field position, and down combine into a single probability.

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HOW_TO_READ_THE_DRIVE_TRACKER

A field guide to the Drive Tracker interface. What each metric means, how to compare drives, and what the EPA and win probability charts are telling you.

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CPOE_EXPLAINED

Completion Percentage Over Expected adjusts for throw difficulty. Why raw completion % is a terrible QB metric and what CPOE tells you instead.

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ADVANCED_STATS_GLOSSARY

Every metric used on this site, defined in one place. Passing, rushing, receiving, and efficiency stats — with data sources and the honest limitations of each.

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